Schlüsselwörter
(Deutsch)
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Nuclear war, food security, humanitarian, agricultural production, famine, malnourishment, nuclear weapons
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Schlüsselwörter
(Englisch)
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Nuclear war, food security, humanitarian, agricultural production, famine, malnourishment, nuclear weapons
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Schlüsselwörter
(Französisch)
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Nuclear war, food security, humanitarian, agricultural production, famine, malnourishment, nuclear weapons
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Schlüsselwörter
(Italienisch)
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Nuclear war, food security, humanitarian, agricultural production, famine, malnourishment, nuclear weapons
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Kurzbeschreibung
(Deutsch)
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Over the last several years, a number of studies have shown that a limited, regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan would cause significant climate disruption worldwide. Two studies published this year examine the impact on agricultural output that would result from this climate disruption. In the US, corn production would decline by an average of 10% for an entire decade, with the most severe decline, about 20% in year 5. There would be a similar decline in soybean production, with, again, the most severe loss, about 20%, in year 5.A second study found a significant decline in Chinese middle season rice production. Duringthe first 4 years, rice production would decline by an average of 21%; over the next 6 years thedecline would average 10%.The decline in available food would be exacerbated by increases in food prices which wouldmake food inaccessible to hundreds of millions of the world’s poorest. Even if agricultural markets continued to function normally, 215 million people would be added to the rolls of the malnourished over the course of a decade.However, markets would not function normally. Significant, sustained agricultural shortfalls over an extended period would almost certainly lead to panic and hoarding on an international scale as food exporting nations suspended exports in order to assure adequate food supplies for their own populations. This turmoil in the agricultural markets would further reduce accessible food. The 925 million people in the world who are chronically malnourished have a baseline consumption of 1,750 calories or less per day. Even a 10% decline in their food consumption would put this entire group at risk. In addition, the anticipated suspension of exports from grain growing countries would threaten the food supplies of several hundred million additional people who have adequate nutrition today, but who live in countries that are highly dependent on food imports.The number of people threatened by nuclear-war induced famine would be well over one billion. These studies demonstrate the need for additional research and underscore the urgent need to move with all possible speed to the negotiation of a nuclear weapons convention that will eliminate the danger of nuclear war.
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Kurzbeschreibung
(Englisch)
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Over the last several years, a number of studies have shown that a limited, regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan would cause significant climate disruption worldwide. Two studies published this year examine the impact on agricultural output that would result from this climate disruption. In the US, corn production would decline by an average of 10% for an entire decade, with the most severe decline, about 20% in year 5. There would be a similar decline in soybean production, with, again, the most severe loss, about 20%, in year 5.A second study found a significant decline in Chinese middle season rice production. Duringthe first 4 years, rice production would decline by an average of 21%; over the next 6 years thedecline would average 10%.The decline in available food would be exacerbated by increases in food prices which wouldmake food inaccessible to hundreds of millions of the world’s poorest. Even if agricultural markets continued to function normally, 215 million people would be added to the rolls of the malnourished over the course of a decade.However, markets would not function normally. Significant, sustained agricultural shortfalls over an extended period would almost certainly lead to panic and hoarding on an international scale as food exporting nations suspended exports in order to assure adequate food supplies for their own populations. This turmoil in the agricultural markets would further reduce accessible food. The 925 million people in the world who are chronically malnourished have a baseline consumption of 1,750 calories or less per day. Even a 10% decline in their food consumption would put this entire group at risk. In addition, the anticipated suspension of exports from grain growing countries would threaten the food supplies of several hundred million additional people who have adequate nutrition today, but who live in countries that are highly dependent on food imports.The number of people threatened by nuclear-war induced famine would be well over one billion. These studies demonstrate the need for additional research and underscore the urgent need to move with all possible speed to the negotiation of a nuclear weapons convention that will eliminate the danger of nuclear war.
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Kurzbeschreibung
(Französisch)
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Over the last several years, a number of studies have shown that a limited, regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan would cause significant climate disruption worldwide. Two studies published this year examine the impact on agricultural output that would result from this climate disruption. In the US, corn production would decline by an average of 10% for an entire decade, with the most severe decline, about 20% in year 5. There would be a similar decline in soybean production, with, again, the most severe loss, about 20%, in year 5.A second study found a significant decline in Chinese middle season rice production. Duringthe first 4 years, rice production would decline by an average of 21%; over the next 6 years thedecline would average 10%.The decline in available food would be exacerbated by increases in food prices which wouldmake food inaccessible to hundreds of millions of the world’s poorest. Even if agricultural markets continued to function normally, 215 million people would be added to the rolls of the malnourished over the course of a decade.However, markets would not function normally. Significant, sustained agricultural shortfalls over an extended period would almost certainly lead to panic and hoarding on an international scale as food exporting nations suspended exports in order to assure adequate food supplies for their own populations. This turmoil in the agricultural markets would further reduce accessible food. The 925 million people in the world who are chronically malnourished have a baseline consumption of 1,750 calories or less per day. Even a 10% decline in their food consumption would put this entire group at risk. In addition, the anticipated suspension of exports from grain growing countries would threaten the food supplies of several hundred million additional people who have adequate nutrition today, but who live in countries that are highly dependent on food imports.The number of people threatened by nuclear-war induced famine would be well over one billion. These studies demonstrate the need for additional research and underscore the urgent need to move with all possible speed to the negotiation of a nuclear weapons convention that will eliminate the danger of nuclear war.
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Kurzbeschreibung
(Italienisch)
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Over the last several years, a number of studies have shown that a limited, regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan would cause significant climate disruption worldwide. Two studies published this year examine the impact on agricultural output that would result from this climate disruption. In the US, corn production would decline by an average of 10% for an entire decade, with the most severe decline, about 20% in year 5. There would be a similar decline in soybean production, with, again, the most severe loss, about 20%, in year 5.A second study found a significant decline in Chinese middle season rice production. Duringthe first 4 years, rice production would decline by an average of 21%; over the next 6 years thedecline would average 10%.The decline in available food would be exacerbated by increases in food prices which wouldmake food inaccessible to hundreds of millions of the world’s poorest. Even if agricultural markets continued to function normally, 215 million people would be added to the rolls of the malnourished over the course of a decade.However, markets would not function normally. Significant, sustained agricultural shortfalls over an extended period would almost certainly lead to panic and hoarding on an international scale as food exporting nations suspended exports in order to assure adequate food supplies for their own populations. This turmoil in the agricultural markets would further reduce accessible food. The 925 million people in the world who are chronically malnourished have a baseline consumption of 1,750 calories or less per day. Even a 10% decline in their food consumption would put this entire group at risk. In addition, the anticipated suspension of exports from grain growing countries would threaten the food supplies of several hundred million additional people who have adequate nutrition today, but who live in countries that are highly dependent on food imports.The number of people threatened by nuclear-war induced famine would be well over one billion. These studies demonstrate the need for additional research and underscore the urgent need to move with all possible speed to the negotiation of a nuclear weapons convention that will eliminate the danger of nuclear war.
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Auftragnehmer
(Englisch)
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International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War Physicians for Social Responsibility (IPPNW), Ira Helfand
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Belastetes Budget
(Englisch)
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Directorate of Political Affairs
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Gesetzliche Grundlage
(Englisch)
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Artikel 170 der Bundesverfassung zur WirksamkeitsüberprüfungArticle 170 de la Constitution fédérale relatif à l’évaluation de l’efficacitéArticolo 170 della Costituzione federale sulla verifica dell‘efficaciaArticle 170 of the Swiss Federal Constitution on the evaluation of effectiveness
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Impressum
(Englisch)
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Copyright, Bundesbehörden der Schweizerischen Eidgenossenschaft | Droits d'auteur: autorités de la Confédération suisse | Diritti d'autore: autorità della Confederazione Svizzera | Dretgs d'autur: autoritads da la Confederaziun svizra | Copyright, Swiss federal authorities
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Auskunft
(Englisch)
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Division for Security Policy
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