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Research unit
SFOE
Project number
101211
Project title
Identification of a set of promising technologies for the 2050 energy policy vision

Texts for this project

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Key words
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Short description
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Final report
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Inserted texts


CategoryText
Key words
(German)
TP0088;F-Koordination
Short description
(German)
Identification of a set of promising technologies for the 2050 energy policy vision
Final report
(English)
Energy research roadmapping is highly dependent on the assumptions made for the energy system framework conditions. In order to reflect this dependency in the presented work, different visions of 'Futures' have been developed, which may realise according to the materialisation of the driving forces exerted from the framework conditions. In theory, the probability of occurrence of the four different ‘Futures’ investigated can be identified in a ‘world of possible’ limited to those four ‘Futures’ when associating a probability to the different driving forces considered. The relative importance of R&D activities related to the various technologies considered can then be derived. Tree diagrams represent a possibilitiy to represent outcomes from quantitative and qualitative investigation of the four ‘Futures’ depending on whether the degree of acceptance of nuclear energy or the degree of success of the liberalisation process is seen as the dominant driving force. Other trees can of course be drawn with different appreciations dependent on what driving forces are dominant.

Auftragnehmer/Contractant/Contraente/Contractor:
E4tech (Switzerland)

Autorschaft/Auteurs/Autori/Authors:
Cremer,Clemens
Bürer,Meinrad
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