STARDEX: Statistical and regional dynamical downscaling of extremes for European regions

• Unité de recherche: PCRD EU
• Numéro de projet: 01.0265-1
• Titre du projet anglais: STARDEX: Statistical and regional dynamical downscaling of extremes for European regions

Mots-clé (Anglais)

Environmental Protection; Forecasting; Meteorology; Resources of the Sea; Fisheries

Autre Numéro de projet (Anglais)

EU project number: EVK2-2001-00115

Programme de recherche (Anglais)

EU-programme: 5. Frame Research Programme - 1.4a.2 Global change, climate and biodiversity

Description succincte (Anglais)

See abstract

Résumé des résultats (Abstract) (Anglais)

For many EU countries, climatic change from whatever cause is most evident, particularly to the public & media, through changing frequencies of extremes. While there is a clear need for scenarios of extremes, such scenarios are not readily available at present, mainly because a systematic framework for identifying & evaluating suitable construction methods is lacking. STARDEX will provide such a framework through the rigorous & systematic inter-comparison & evaluation of statistical, dynamical & statistical-dynamical downscaling methods for the reconstruction of observed extremes & the construction of scenarios of extremes for European case-study regions. The more robust techniques will be identified & used to produce reliable & plausible future scenarios of extremes for the case-study regions for the end of the 21st century. These scenarios will help to address the vital question as to whether extremes will occur more frequently in the future.

Références bases de données (Anglais)

Swiss Database: Euro-DB of the
State Secretariat for Education and Research
Hallwylstrasse 4
CH-3003 Berne, Switzerland
Tel. [phone]
Swiss Project-Number: 01.0265-1