MICE: Modelling the impact of climate extremes

• Unité de recherche: PCRD EU
• Numéro de projet: 01.0069
• Titre du projet anglais: MICE: Modelling the impact of climate extremes

Mots-clé (Anglais)

Environmental Protection; Forecasting; Meteorology; Resources of the Sea; Fisheries

Autre Numéro de projet (Anglais)

EU project number: EVK2-2001-00118

Programme de recherche (Anglais)

EU-programme: 5. Frame Research Programme - 1.4a.2 Global change, climate and biodiversity

Description succincte (Anglais)

See abstract

Résumé des résultats (Abstract) (Anglais)

It is widely recognized that the impacts of climate change will be manifest more through changes in extremes than as a result of changes in the mean climate. It is the aim of MICE to study changes in extreme event occurrence resulting from anthropogenic climate change, as predicted for Europe by global and regional climate models; and to evaluate the impacts of the predicted changes on selected categories of the human environment and activities. Spatial and temporal patterns of extreme event occurrence will be analysed for precipitation (flood, drought and snow lying), temperature (heat stress) and windstorm. MICE will estimate likely future changes in extremes and define the uncertainties. The impacts of interest are forestry, agriculture, energy use, tourism, and property and life insurance. Interpretation of the results for use by stakeholders and policy-makers is central to the project.

Références bases de données (Anglais)

Swiss Database: Euro-DB of the
State Secretariat for Education and Research
Hallwylstrasse 4
CH-3003 Berne, Switzerland
Tel. [phone]
Swiss Project-Number: 01.0069