PRUDENCE: Prediction of regional scenarios and uncertainties for defining European climate change risks and effects

• Unité de recherche: PCRD EU
• Numéro de projet: 01.0305-1
• Titre du projet anglais: PRUDENCE: Prediction of regional scenarios and uncertainties for defining European climate change risks and effects

Mots-clé (Anglais)

Regional climate modeling; climate processes; climate prediction; hydrological cycle; heavy precipitation; Europe; Alps;
Environmental Protection; Forecasting; Meteorology; Resources of the Sea; Fisheries

Autre Numéro de projet (Anglais)

EU project number: EVK2-2000-00132

Programme de recherche (Anglais)

EU-programme: 5. Frame Research Programme - 1.4a.2 Global change, climate and biodiversity

Description succincte (Anglais)

See abstract

Partenaires et organisations internationales (Anglais)

Coordinator: Danish Meteorological Institute (DK)

Résumé des résultats (Abstract) (Anglais)

PRUDENCE proposes to co-ordinate the analysis, and demonstrate the use, of European high-resolution climate change modelling involving 4 high-resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs), 8 Regional Climate Models (RCMs) and several climate impacts models. Due to the heterogeneity of possible climate change through Europe and the impacts this may imply, European wide expertise from both climate and impacts modelling groups, as well as from within social and political sciences, is required. This will ensure a comprehensive utilisation of the entire set of climate change simulations takes place. A co-ordinated effort within one common 'end-to-end' project will enable an unprecedented quantification of the uncertainties associated with impacts of future climate changes for Europe.

In demonstrating the feasibility of such a combined effort, a new standard for interdisciplinary work throughout Europe will be set.

Références bases de données (Anglais)

Swiss Database: Euro-DB of the
State Secretariat for Education and Research
Hallwylstrasse 4
CH-3003 Berne, Switzerland
Tel. [phone]
Swiss Project-Number: 01.0305-1